Subscribe to:
POZ magazine
Join POZ: Facebook MySpace Twitter Pinterest
Tumblr Google+ Flickr MySpace
POZ Personals
Sign In / Join

Obama Is The Underdog

| 1 Comment
Pollster Obama vs Romney

I'm amazed how many of my progressive friends seem quite confident Obama will win in November. My clearest memory from the political science courses I took at Oberlin in the early 80's was that the overwhelming determinant of presidential elections was how folks were feeling about the economy (basically, are they worried, or hopeful?). If you are following all this other bullshit, like the constant hype over each candidate's gaffes, then you're living in a pundit-driven echo chamber.

The too-busy-and-too-cynical-for-politics independents that will decide this election will look at their choices about a week before the election, and they'll be worried and frustrated enough to think "this isn't working, let's let the other guy have a go at it." That's assuming the "other guy" doesn't scare them, and you can bet good money that Romney's campaign will do a decent job of making him look like a dull but safe choice from now until election day (including a very safe VP pick).

Here's a graph averaging all the recent polls. None of Romney's gaffes matter. Same goes for his refusal to release tax returns (I'm afraid he's going to get away with this stunning lack of transparency). We've had a terrible month of bad economic news (Europe crashing, China slowing, corporate earnings, domestic economic reports, and a volatile stock market), and that's what's moved this graph.

I'm scared to death of a Romney presidency, and plan on fighting like hell to prevent it. But the complacency on the left has me quite worried. They haven't figured out that Obama is the underdog in this race.

Peter on:

1 Comment

Show Comment(s)

Comments on Peter Staley's blog entry "Obama Is The Underdog"

Completely and totally agree with you Peter Staley. The complacency of many so-called progressives terrifies me, as does the robotic chant of some/many OWS types that "it doesn't matter who's elected, both parties are the problem" (obviously they've never lived, as an adult anyway, under Bush I or II), especially when as compared with the passionate & well organized fervor of the pro-NRA, pro-Christian Right, pro-Rich People Don't Pay Taxes/I Hate Obama Crowd, who be assured *will turn out and vote* . The political, cultural, and economic climate in the US right now reminds me eerily of the pre-Reagan days, when everybody was assuring themselves that he had no chance of winning so they didn't need to vote. *We need everyone possible to go out and register to vote and to actually go out and vote for Obama in November; we face a scary scary life complete with a Romney-appointed Supreme Court if we all don't pull together!*

Leave a comment


Subscribe to Blog

Powered by MT-Notifier

About this Entry

This page contains a single entry by Peter Staley published on July 30, 2012 1:31 PM.

Very Early HIV Treatment: A Functional Cure? was the previous entry in this blog.

HOW TO SURVIVE A PLAGUE Opens Friday! is the next entry in this blog.

Find recent content on the main index or look in the archives to find all content.

Peter on Twitter


The opinions expressed by the bloggers and by people providing comments are theirs alone. They do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Smart + Strong and/or its employees.

Smart + Strong is not responsible for the accuracy of any of the information contained in the blogs or within any comments posted to the blogs.

© 2016 Smart + Strong. All Rights Reserved. Terms of use and Your privacy